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Geopolitical··Severity 9

Attacks on Iran will be met with a "powerful and decisive" response, Aragchi warns

Attacks on Iran will be met with a "powerful and decisive" response, Aragchi warns Iranian foreign minister Abbas Araghchi warned that any attacks on his country will be met with a "powerful and decisive" response. "Our defense doctrine is clear: eye for an eye," he said in a post on X. "Any aggression against Iran, including our infrastructure, will compel a powerful and decisive response." He added that those who assist and support such strikes will also become "legitimate targets" of Tehran. Our defense doctrine is clear: eye for an eye. Any aggression against Iran, including our infrastructure, will compel a powerful and decisive response. Those who contribute to such aggression, whatever the kind of support, will also be considered as legitimate targets. — Seyed Abbas Araghchi (@araghchi) July 22, 2026

Scenario chain

Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.

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Эскалация

75%

Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.

Primary source: Middle East Eye

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