Geopolitical··Severity 9
Ship insurers restrict war coverage for Saudi Arabian cargoes in Red Sea
Attacks from Iranian-backed Houthi rebels threaten further disruption to global oil supplies
Scenario chain
Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.
A
76%Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Primary source: FT World
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