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Geopolitical··Severity 8

Tanker Exits Red Sea Dark as Another China Ship Heads to Strait

A Greek tanker carrying Saudi crude exited the Red Sea with its transponder off, while another Chinese vessel headed toward Bab el-Mandeb as Houthi attacks heightened risks for commercial shipping.

Scenario chain

Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.

A

Эскалация

64%

Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.

Primary source: Bloomberg Markets

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