Geopolitical··Severity 6
US extends sanctions exemption for sale of Lukoil International GmbH until August 22
Meanwhile, the general license does not authorize the transfer of funds to any person or to any account in Russia, according to the document
Scenario chain
Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.
A
39%Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Primary source: TASS English
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