Geopolitical··Severity 6
Iraq refutes NYT report about US ceasefire proposal rejected by Iran
The Iraqi head of government’s press service called on the media "to be clear and rely on official sources without spreading unconfirmed information or reports, citing unidentified sources"
Scenario chain
Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.
A
36%Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Primary source: TASS English
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