Geopolitical··Severity 9
The Houthis Are Not Fighting Iran’s War
The Iran war now has a Houthi problem. Iranian attacks on three commercial tankers in the Strait of Hormuz on July 8 broke the fragile ceasefire declared only a few weeks earlier, prompting the U.S. to abandon restraint and resume near-nightly airstrikes throughout Iran. Tehran retaliated with ballistic missile and drone attacks against U.S. bases […] The post The Houthis Are Not Fighting Iran’s War appeared first on Geopolitical Futures .
Scenario chain
Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.
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79%Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Primary source: Geopolitical Futures
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