Geopolitical··Severity 6
US attacks Iran as Houthis allow Chinese ships to pass: What’s the latest?
The number of tanker crossings in the Strait of Hormuz dropped to lowest levels in two months on Thursday.
Scenario chain
Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.
A
40%Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Primary source: Al Jazeera
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