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Geopolitical··Severity 6

Russians attack energy infrastructure in five Ukrainian oblasts

As of this morning, new power outages have been reported in five oblasts as a result of the latest major Russian attack.

Scenario chain

Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.

A

Эскалация

42%

Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.

Primary source: Ukrainska Pravda

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