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Natural··Severity 9

Super El Nino: is 2026 an ‘extremely destructive’ prelude? Next year might be worse

From massive typhoons and severe floods to scorching heat, China is being hit by a barrage of extreme weather events. Behind this surge in volatility lies a brewing “super” El Nino, according to researchers. Scientists warn that we are only seeing the prelude, and with the current event already rivalling historic climate disasters, it signals a potentially perilous future for the nation and the globe. Jiang Hua, chief El Nino forecaster at the National Marine Environmental Forecasting Centre,...

Scenario chain

Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.

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Эскалация

54%

Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.

Primary source: South China Morning Post

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