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Economic··Severity 7

Global Bonds Are Reeling as Oil Surge Renews Inflation Threat

Global bonds are being pummeled by the latest resurgence in energy prices, delivering losses to investors who bet the worst of this year’s rout was over and teeing up credibility tests for central bankers.

Scenario chain

Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.

A

Эскалация

42%

Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.

Primary source: Bloomberg Markets

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