Military··Severity 6
IRGC urges people of the region to keep safe distance from US military bases
The Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps urges all citizens of countries where US military bases are located to immediately move at least 500 meters away from those locations
Scenario chain
Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.
A
45%Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Primary source: TASS English
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