Natural··Severity 7
Spanish police accuse tractor driver of sparking wildfire as blazes spread
The number of people forced to flee the heatwave-induced fires in Spain and France has now passed the 100,000 mark.
Scenario chain
Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.
A
34%Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Primary source: Al Jazeera
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