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Geopolitical··Severity 6

With no Iran war end in sight, Germany pulls back two navy ships eyed for Hormuz mission

German defense leaders have little hope for peace in Iran soon, pulling back two navy ships meant to support a post-war mission in the Strait of Hormuz.

Scenario chain

Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.

A

Эскалация

39%

Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.

Primary source: Defense News

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