Economic··Severity 7
Trump threatens new EU tariffs in retaliation for fines on US tech groups
President says Washington will launch new probe into the bloc that could sharpen trade tensions
Scenario chain
Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.
A
43%Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Primary source: FT World
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