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Geopolitical··Severity 8

Healey under pressure to raise taxes or cut UK spending as fiscal headroom shrinks

US-Iran war and new spending commitments threaten to cut buffer to as little as £7bn, economists estimate

Scenario chain

Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.

A

Эскалация

62%

Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.

Primary source: FT World

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