Natural··Severity 7
Kiev rejects Alaska peace plan largely because it is emboldened by US assistance — Lavrov
"Kiev's arrogant, even contemptuous, rejection of the American proposal largely occurs because Zelensky continues to be flooded with weapons," the Russian foreign minister said
Scenario chain
Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.
A
31%Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Primary source: TASS English
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