Geopolitical··Severity 8
Kazakh leader tells Putin war should end, Ukrainian drones target Siberian oil site
Kazakhstan's president urged Russian leader Vladimir Putin to end the war during talks in the Siberian city of Omsk while Ukrainian drones struck an oil refinery in Siberia on Saturday in one of Kyiv's deepest attacks inside Russia.
Scenario chain
Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.
A
64%Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Primary source: France24
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