Economic··Severity 5
Flavio Bolsonaro gets party nod to run against Brazil's Lula
Flavio Bolsonaro won support from Argentine President Javier Milei and Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu, though tariffs imposed by Donald Trump's administration could complicate his path to the presidency.
Scenario chain
Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.
A
20%Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Primary source: DW World
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