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Social··Severity 6

India and South Africa lead push to amass emergency fuel stockpiles

Developing countries forced into rationing during Middle East conflict plan to build or expand official buffers

Scenario chain

Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.

A

Эскалация

27%

Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.

Primary source: FT World

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