Geopolitical··Severity 6
Iran killed over 200 US servicemen since ceasefire ended — IRGC
Spokesman Hossein Mohebbi dismissed all US reports about its casualties as false
Scenario chain
Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.
A
39%Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Primary source: TASS English
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