Social··Severity 6
Sudan civil war: Civilians used as 'human shields'
The situation in the besieged city of El Obeid in Sudan is worsening by the day, with rights organizations warning of mass atrocities. Children are traumatized and do not dare go to school.
Scenario chain
Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.
A
30%Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Primary source: DW World
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