Geopolitical··Severity 6
Russia is fielding small warships armed with modern weapons — Putin
Russian President highlighted that the "mosquito fleet" has always existed, with the key difference being the technologies it employs
Scenario chain
Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.
A
40%Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Primary source: TASS English
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