Social··Severity 6
Russia did not start war, is responding to Kiev actions — Putin
We merely began responding to the hostilities, to the war that the current Kiev regime, with Western support, unleashed against what was then southeastern Ukraine, Russian President said
Scenario chain
Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.
A
32%Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Primary source: TASS English
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