Geopolitical··Severity 9
New front in US-Iran war escalates as Houthis fire at Saudi oil facilities
Conflict also spreads to Caspian Sea as Tehran accuses Ukraine of a deadly attack on an Iranian vessel.
Scenario chain
Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.
A
79%Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Primary source: Al Jazeera
Checking access status…