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Social··Severity 6

Over 40,000 people in Donbas suffer at hands of Ukrainian army since 2014 — ombudsperson

Russian human rights ombudsperson Yana Lantratova drew attention to Ukraine’s gross violation of international humanitarian law

Scenario chain

Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.

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Эскалация

29%

Сценарии event-driven intelligence:

Primary source: TASS English

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