Military··Severity 8
US maintains naval blockade on Iran amid military pause
As Washington insists on maintaining its maritime blockade, tensions in the Middle East remained volatile despite signs of a pause in direct US military action.
Scenario chain
Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.
A
69%Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Primary source: CGTN World
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