Geopolitical··Severity 8
Trump says Iran war talks taking place during lull in strikes
The US president says "there is a good chance that something could happen", as Iran denies direct talks are taking place.
Scenario chain
Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.
A
59%Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Primary source: BBC World
Checking access status…