← Scenarios catalogue
Economic··Severity 7

US Stocks Catch a Bid as Oil Tumbles With Iran Conflict Pause

US stock futures rallied as oil prices slid with the US pausing strikes against Iran and tankers sailing for a recently-disrupted Kazakh export terminal, easing supply pressures.

Scenario chain

Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.

A

Эскалация

45%

Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.

Primary source: Bloomberg Markets

Checking access status…