Social··Severity 6
Macquarie Sees Oil Surplus Risk on US-Iran Deal Before Midterms
Oil markets could tilt back into oversupply before the end of the year as Washington faces mounting pressure to end the Iran conflict with fewer than 100 days until the midterm elections, analysts from Macquarie Ltd said.
Scenario chain
Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.
A
26%Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Primary source: Bloomberg Markets
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