Social··Severity 6
Hopes of return to diplomacy as US-Iran hold fire for third day
Mediators from Qatar and Pakistan work to restart ceasefire talks amid fragile pause in hostilities.
Scenario chain
Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.
A
21%Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Primary source: Al Jazeera
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