Geopolitical··Severity 6
The Kremlin’s Easy Money Is Gone
Russia still has assets to tap for its war, but the political costs are growing.
Scenario chain
Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.
A
40%Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Primary source: Foreign Policy
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