← Scenarios catalogue
Geopolitical··Severity 6

EU aims to adopt 22nd sanctions package in October, backlisting 1,600 firms — Bloomberg

If approved, the decision would expand the existing anti-Russian blacklist by 50% in one go

Scenario chain

Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.

A

Эскалация

42%

Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.

Primary source: TASS English

Checking access status…