Geopolitical··Severity 6
War on Iran: Phase II: Day 17
Political déjà vu as US President Donald Trump says negotiations with Iran are back on.
Scenario chain
Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.
A
37%Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Primary source: Al Jazeera
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