Geopolitical··Severity 6
OPEC+ Plans to Pause Quota Hikes After September, Delegates Say
OPEC+ expects to pause oil-production quota hikes after a final increase in September as the group continues to evaluate the fast-changing supply impact of the Iran war, two delegates said.
Scenario chain
Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.
A
42%Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Primary source: Bloomberg Markets
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