Geopolitical··Severity 8
Iran’s missile resilience challenges US forces
Recent fighting has provided conditions for Tehran’s forces to launch more precision strikes across Gulf and Jordan
Scenario chain
Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.
A
62%Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Primary source: FT World
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