Geopolitical··Severity 9
US says it intercepted ‘surprise’ Iranian missile attack
Incident ends a days-long pause in direct air strikes
Scenario chain
Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.
A
75%Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Primary source: FT World
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