Military··Severity 9
Iran's missile forces remain effective after five months of US strikes — FT
Former Iran-focused military analyst with the CIA Jim Lamson stressed that the recent strikes on US bases in Jordan had demonstrated Iran's ability to penetrate US and Arab missile defenses
Scenario chain
Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.
A
80%Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Primary source: TASS English
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