Geopolitical··Severity 6
The Economic War on Iran Is—and Isn’t—Working
Devastating costs have been imposed on the Iranian economy—to unclear strategic ends.
Scenario chain
Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.
A
40%Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Primary source: Foreign Policy
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