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Social··Severity 6

Trump’s ability to talk down oil prices is being tested

As Iran conflict drags on, verbal intervention may no longer be enough to suppress prices

Scenario chain

Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.

A

Эскалация

29%

Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.

Primary source: FT World

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