Economic··Severity 5
After fleeing Sudan’s war, refugees battle thirst in Chad’s camps
After escaping war and atrocities, families now battle water shortages and fading hopes of returning home.
Scenario chain
Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.
A
23%Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Primary source: Al Jazeera
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