Geopolitical··Severity 9
US and Saudi Araba jointly strike Iraq, widening the conflict
The US-Israel war on Iran is widening once again, with the US and Saudi Arabia launching joint airstrikes on Iran-backed armed groups in Iraq. Earlier, Tehran targeted US bases in Jordan and ships in the Strait of Hormuz. President Donald Trump is now vowing further retaliation, raising fresh concerns that the conflict is entering a dangerous new phase.
Scenario chain
Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.
A
80%Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Primary source: France24
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