Geopolitical··Severity 8
Iran and US trade strikes, shattering brief lull in fighting
US Central Command says it intercepted "multiple" ballistic missiles fired by Iran.
Scenario chain
Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.
A
62%Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Primary source: BBC World
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