Geopolitical··Severity 6
Iran attacks US bases in Middle East as Trump meets Netanyahu
Iran has also struck three ships in the Strait of Hormuz and rejected Oman’s proposal on managing the waterway.
Scenario chain
Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.
A
40%Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Primary source: Al Jazeera
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