Geopolitical··Severity 9
Iran war live: US accuses IRGC of ‘surprise’ ballistic missile attacks
US claim comes as Saudi Arabia intercepts drones and Iran warns of 'any action' to maintain its control of Hormuz.
Scenario chain
Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.
A
79%Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Primary source: Al Jazeera
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