Natural··Severity 7
EU crisis chief warns wildfires are a risk from scaling back green agenda
Also in this newsletter: Hungary slows Ukraine’s EU accession despite Orbán’s departure
Scenario chain
Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.
A
41%Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Primary source: FT World
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