Social··Severity 6
Expert says Gulf monarchies seek to diversify defense ties as US proves unreliable
The current conflict has proven that America’s national security concerns, not the security concerns of the Persian Gulf states, are its primary concerns, Mehran Kamrava said
Scenario chain
Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.
A
25%Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Primary source: TASS English
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