Military··Severity 9
US Intercepts Iran Attack on Bases, Puncturing Calm
The US said it intercepted an Iranian attack on military bases, ending a dayslong pause in fighting and increasing the risk of a return to full-blown war in the Middle East. Bloomberg's Abeer Abu Omar has the latest. (Source: Bloomberg)
Scenario chain
Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.
A
80%Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Primary source: Bloomberg Markets
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