Geopolitical··Severity 6
US and Saudi Arabia strike 'Iran-backed' militias in Iraq
US and Saudi Arabia kill at least 20 in strikes on 'Iran-backed' militias in Iraq, as Iran targets US base in Jordan.
Scenario chain
Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.
A
44%Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Primary source: CGTN World
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