Military··Severity 9
Middle East live: US air strikes on Iran's Qeshm island kill three people
A US attack killed three people, including a two-year-old child, on Iran's Qeshm island, the Fars news agency reported on Thursday after the US military said it wrapped up a heavy wave of strikes. The US military said the strikes were retaliation for Iranian attacks targeting US military bases in Jordan. Follow our liveblog for all the latest updates.
Scenario chain
Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.
A
80%Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Primary source: France24
Checking access status…