Geopolitical··Severity 6
Lebanon’s billionaire Sehnaoui accused of treason following dinner with Israel’s Netanyahu
Lebanese Prosecutor General Ahmed Rami al-Hajj issued an arrest warrant for Antoun Sehnaoui for violating the law on the boycott of the Jewish state, in force since 1955
Scenario chain
Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.
A
42%Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Primary source: TASS English
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